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Ardent Health stock

ARDTNYSE

Ardent Health Inc., HealthcareISIN US03980N1072

$18.19▲ $0.26 (+1.5%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

60Score 60 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

77 / 100

Price history

+29% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 2 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 77% above it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 86).

Distance to the high

The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 2 years: 61% (October 2024 to June 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$11.87
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$10.26
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)86
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$7.83
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$18.19
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$2.56B
Div. yield
no dividend
17.6
15.2
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.20 per share)
Fair value
$21.88

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Ardent Health Inc. belongs to the Medical (Care Facilities) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.56B, is number 26 of 56 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $6.32B (up 6% year on year) and earnings of $135.81M (down 35.4%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.48B (up 2.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.02 (down 38.2%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 60 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 274 of 714 in Healthcare, median 53.
  • The P/E is 17.6 (Medical (Care Facilities) median 19.4, own median of recent years 10).
  • Our model puts fair value at $21.88, with the price 17% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 192% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 62

Weaknesses

  • Volatile share priceVolatility 60% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 55
60/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency67% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)192%
ROIC (12 months)7.8%
Positive free cash flow67% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price up very strongly over the past year
  • high price swings

What lowers it

  • price near its 52-week high
  • stable momentum

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly undervalued
Price
$18.19
Fair value
$21.88
Gap to fair value
−17%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $15.63 and expensive above $36.47 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $23.79 (cash-flow model) and $19.98 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $19.78, at 7.8% it would be $25.04.

Valuation metrics

1.61
8.4
Fair value (model)
$21.88
Earnings part $19.98 (earnings per share $1.03 × 19.4)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.4).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

9 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2015, at around 15% per year.

Margins

9 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 98%, operating 5%, net 2%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.27
6.2x
2.13
Cash & equivalents
$766.24M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
3 Mar 2027in 111 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.31 (expected $0.23)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 6.8% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20268 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.02+6.8%
Revenue
$6.48B+0.2%
Fiscal 20279 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.23+5.3%
Revenue
$6.69B−0.6%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +7.8%

2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance maintained despite lower volumes (about $25 million headwind); savings target raised to over $70 million.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We have increased our 2026 savings target twice from $40 million originally to the $55 million target established in the fourth quarter of 2025 earnings call to now over $70 million expected to be realized this year.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $186,400 in total.

  • DeMichiei RobertPurchase

    5 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    11,260
    Price
    $8.73
    Value
    $98,300
  • Lumsdaine AlfredPurchase

    5 Jun 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $8.81
    Value
    $88,100

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Ardent Health

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

714 rated companies in Healthcare

Rank 274 of 714
274/ 714
This company
60
Sector median
53

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 714 companies37 (median 37)0 at the median
GrowthMedian of 714 companies55 (median 53)2 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 714 companies62 (median 46)16 above the median
ValuationMedian of 477 companies with a value71 (median 54)17 above the median
StabilityMedian of 714 companies55 (median 67)12 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 714 companies46 (median 39)7 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 714 companies77 (median 70)7 above the median
MomentumMedian of 714 companies91 (median 71)20 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Medical (Care Facilities)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 56 Medical (Care Facilities) stocks

ETFs that hold Ardent Health

Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 8 Aug 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026, previously Undervalued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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