Allot stock: fair value
ALLTThe fair value of Allot under our model is $7.22, the price is 8% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $4.81 and expensive above $14.44 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $9.19 (cash-flow model) and $5.25 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.5%. At 12.5% the fair value would be $6.65, at 10.5% it would be $7.96.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.6).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 3.8%. Discounted at 11.5% (government bond yield 3.8% plus beta 1.22 times a risk premium of 6.3%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $9.19 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 11.5%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 11.5%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $20.84M | extrapolated at 34.6% | 0.8967 | $18.69M |
| 2027 | $26.13M | extrapolated at 25.3% | 0.8040 | $21.01M |
| 2028 | $31.06M | extrapolated at 18.9% | 0.7209 | $22.39M |
| 2029 | $35.53M | extrapolated at 14.4% | 0.6464 | $22.96M |
| 2030 | $39.51M | extrapolated at 11.2% | 0.5796 | $22.9M |
| 2031 | $43.06M | extrapolated at 9.0% | 0.5197 | $22.38M |
| 2032 | $46.27M | extrapolated at 7.4% | 0.4660 | $21.56M |
| 2033 | $49.21M | extrapolated at 6.4% | 0.4178 | $20.56M |
| 2034 | $51.97M | extrapolated at 5.6% | 0.3746 | $19.47M |
| 2035 | $54.6M | extrapolated at 5.1% | 0.3359 | $18.34M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $210.26M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 3.8%) / (11.5% − 3.8%) | $736.65M |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.3359) | $247.46M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $457.72M |
| Shares (diluted) | 49.83M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $9.19 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $0.21 |
| × 25.6 (industry P/E) | $5.25 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $7.22 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.