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Alligo stock

ALLIGO-B.STSTO

Alligo AB (publ), IndustrialsISIN SE0009922305

$11.73▲ $0.00 (0.0%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

46 / 100

Price history

−1.2% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 9 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 11% below it.

Trend change

Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 62).

Distance to the high

The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 9 years: 68% (October 2021 to December 2022).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$12.47
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$13.19
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)62
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$10.79
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$14.82
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$587.62M
Div. yield
1.88%
12 months
16.6
Fair value
$22.31

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Alligo AB (publ) belongs to the Industrial (Distribution) industry (Sweden) and, with a market value of $587.62M, is number 31 of 37 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $957.69M (up 2.3% year on year) and earnings of $26.17M (down 4.7%).
  • MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 655 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
Show more
  • The P/E is 16.6 (Industrial (Distribution) median 26.4, own median of recent years 15.6).
  • Our model puts fair value at $22.31, with the price 47% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 289% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 85
  • Below fair valuePrice 47% below the fair value of $22.31.Valuation 92
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2015 to 2025.Fundamentals 85

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 80% since 2019.Capital allocation 35
56/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while capital allocation and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)289%
ROIC (12 months)6.6%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$11.73
Fair value
$22.31
Gap to fair value
−47%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $17.16 and expensive above $31.87 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $25.89 (cash-flow model) and $18.73 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.6%. At 8.6% the fair value would be $20.33, at 6.6% it would be $25.18.

Valuation metrics

0.85
7.4
Fair value (model)
$22.31
Earnings part $18.73 (earnings per share $0.71 × 26.4)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26.4).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

11 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2014, at about 6% per year.

Margins

11 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 5%, operating 6%, net 3%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.84
3.7x
2.03
Cash & equivalents
$33.09M

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
12 Feb 2027in 91 days
Last reported
23 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.18 (expected $0.23)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Fiscal 20262 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.89−8.1%
Revenue
$1.02B−0.5%
Fiscal 20272 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.12−8.3%
Revenue
$1.09B−0.2%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook lowered

Share price after the results: −13.8%

Alligo describes a still partly slow market environment in Sweden and Norway and does not raise its outlook, only pointing to SEK 35 million cost cuts reaching full effect by year-end.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“As Samuel mentioned, we established a project during the quarter to improve the unsatisfactory profitability in Norway, and activities include initiatives to drive growth, improve gross margin, and adjust the cost base by SEK 35 million.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 23 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

What happened at Alligo

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1018 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 655 of 1018
655/ 1018
This company
56
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,018 companies40 (median 53)13 below the median
GrowthMedian of 1,018 companies54 (median 63)9 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,018 companies85 (median 71)14 above the median
ValuationMedian of 974 companies with a value92 (median 64)28 above the median
StabilityMedian of 1,018 companies63 (median 65)2 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,018 companies35 (median 55)20 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,018 companies46 (median 59)13 below the median
MomentumMedian of 1,018 companies34 (median 57)23 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Industrial (Distribution)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 37 Industrial (Distribution) stocks

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = SEK 9.9729)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Oct 2025)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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