Aktia Pankki stock: fair value
AKTIA.HEThe fair value of Aktia Pankki under our model is $16.81, the price is 21% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $14.01 and expensive above $21.02 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.6%. At 8.6% the fair value would be $14.01, at 6.6% it would be $21.02.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, weak growth.
Where the number comes from
From the excess return model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Excess return model for banks and insurers: book value plus the value of returns above the cost of equity of 7.6% (floor: government bond yield 2.6% plus 5 percentage points, since beta 0.8 times the risk premium would give less).
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the excess return model arrives at $16.81 per share: book value plus the value of what the company earns above its cost of equity over time. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Book value per share | $11.05 |
| Stable earnings per share (book value × median return on equity of the last five fiscal years) | $1.13 |
| Return on equity in the model (median of the last five fiscal years) | 10.2% |
| Cost of equity | 7.6% |
| Excess return per share: (return − cost) × book value | $0.29 |
| Terminal value of excess returns: excess return / (7.6% − 2.6%) | $5.77 |
| Value per share (book value plus terminal value) | $16.81 |
| Fair value (from the cash flow model alone) | $16.81 |
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 23 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.