Arthur J. Gallagher stock
AJGNYSEArthur J. Gallagher & Co., Financial ServicesISIN US3635761097
66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
89 / 100
Price history
+11% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 21% above it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 2.2% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 52% (August 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$251.06
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$233.23
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$192.00
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$288.38
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. belongs to the Insurance (Brokers) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $72.31B, is number 2 of 14 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $13.94B (up 20.7% year on year) and earnings of $1.49B (up 2.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $16.49B (up 18.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $13.10 (up 22.5%).
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- MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 558 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
- The P/E is 43.1 (Insurance (Brokers) median 24.5, own median of recent years 32.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $255.56, with the price 10% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 37 years.
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 170% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 84
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 84
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 36% since 2020.Capital allocation 34
- Richly valuedP/E 43.1, Insurance (Brokers) median 24.5, own median 32.2.Valuation 35
Its standout strengths are technical analysis and fundamentals, while valuation and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $182.55 and expensive above $425.94 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $350.45 (cash-flow model) and $160.68 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $225.27, at 7.8% it would be $301.09.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 25.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 13% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 55%, operating 18%, net 11%.
Debt & balance sheet
Fiscal 2025Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 28 Jan 2027in 77 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.00 (expected $2.99)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $13.10−0.2%
- Revenue
- $16.49B−0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $14.850.0%
- Revenue
- $17.85B−0.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −7.2%Full year organic growth outlook of 6% confirmed, little new versus the June investor day; the reinsurance outlook was lowered a little.
“That is why we remain confident in the durability of our results and in our 2026 full-year organic growth outlook of 6%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 7 insiders sold, $29.81M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Pietrucha Susan ESale
9 Nov 2026, Chief Human Resources Officer
- Shares
- 15,020
- Price
- $282.30
- Value
- $4.24M
- Ziebell William FSale
4 Nov 2026, VICE PRESIDENT
- Shares
- 23,510
- Price
- $286.63
- Value
- $6.74M
- Howell Douglas KSale
2 Nov 2026, VP & Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 30,996
- Price
- $275.15
- Value
- $8.53M
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- Mead Christopher ESale
2 Nov 2026, VICE PRESIDENT
- Shares
- 7,590
- Price
- $279.72
- Value
- $2.12M
- Cary Richard CSale
15 Sept 2026, Controller, CAO
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $252.86
- Value
- $252,858
- Hudson Scott RSale
2 Sept 2026, Vice President
- Shares
- 12,000
- Price
- $264.13
- Value
- $3.17M
- Bay Walter D.Sale
24 Aug 2026, General Counsel
- Shares
- 12,000
- Price
- $270.08
- Value
- $3.24M
- Mead Christopher ESale
19 Aug 2026, VICE PRESIDENT
- Shares
- 3,500
- Price
- $257.03
- Value
- $899,587
- Cary Richard CSale
2 Jun 2026, Controller, CAO
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $206.00
- Value
- $618,000
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Arthur J. Gallagher
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
976 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 66
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Insurance (Brokers)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Marsh & McLennan CompaniesMRSH $99.03B76
- AonAON $71.4B74
- Willis Towers Watson PublicWTW $30.82B75
- Brown & BrownBRO $23.68B72
- Ryan Specialty HoldingsRYAN $5.61B65
- CorVelCRVL $4.24B79
- Neptune Insurance HoldingsNP $3.91B66
- Baldwin Insurance GroupBWIN $2.98B48
ETFs that hold Arthur J. Gallagher
Held by 104 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P 500 Financials Sector UCITS ETFQDVH | 0.91% | 0.15% | €2.17B |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Financials UCITS ETF 1DXUFN | 0.90% | 0.12% | €1.07B |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Financials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDF | 0.88% | 0.15% | €663.04M |
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| UBS Factor MSCI USA Low Volatility UCITS ETF USD disUBUR | 0.64% | 0.18% | €64.75M |
| iShares Ageing Population UCITS ETF2B77 | 0.63% | 0.40% | €807M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Financials UCITS ETF 1CXDWF | 0.50% | 0.25% | €1.44B |
| JPMorgan US Research Enhanced Index Equity Active UCITS ETFJUHE | 0.44% | 0.20% | €14.56B |
| JPM Global Equity Premium Income Active UCITS ETF USD (dist)JGPI | 0.38% | 0.35% | €1.55B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jan 2022)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.