AGNT stock: fair value
AGNTThe fair value of AGNT under our model is $9.13, the price is 71% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $6.52 and expensive above $15.22 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.9%. At 9.9% the fair value would be $7.68, at 7.9% it would be $11.30.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50.
Where the number comes from
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 3.8%. Discounted at 8.9% (government bond yield 3.8% plus beta 1.14 times a risk premium of 4.4%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $9.13 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 8.9%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 8.9%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $99.79M | extrapolated at −9.2% | 0.9183 | $91.64M |
| 2027 | $94.5M | extrapolated at −5.3% | 0.8432 | $79.68M |
| 2028 | $92.08M | extrapolated at −2.6% | 0.7743 | $71.3M |
| 2029 | $91.49M | extrapolated at −0.7% | 0.7110 | $65.05M |
| 2030 | $92.12M | extrapolated at 0.7% | 0.6529 | $60.15M |
| 2031 | $93.63M | extrapolated at 1.6% | 0.5995 | $56.13M |
| 2032 | $95.78M | extrapolated at 2.3% | 0.5505 | $52.73M |
| 2033 | $98.42M | extrapolated at 2.8% | 0.5055 | $49.75M |
| 2034 | $101.45M | extrapolated at 3.1% | 0.4642 | $47.09M |
| 2035 | $104.8M | extrapolated at 3.3% | 0.4263 | $44.67M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $618.2M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 3.8%) / (8.9% − 3.8%) | $2.15B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4263) | $914.68M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $1.53B |
| Shares (diluted) | 167.83M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $9.13 |
| Fair value (from the cash flow model alone) | $9.13 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 12 Dec 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.