Alamos Gold stock
AGINYSEAlamos Gold Inc., Basic MaterialsISIN CA0115321089
66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
40 / 100
Price history
−15% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 24% below it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 46).
The price is 48% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 89% (December 2010 to January 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$32.59
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$37.61
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)46
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$27.08
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$55.33
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Alamos Gold Inc. belongs to the Gold industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $12.03B, is number 18 of 52 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.81B (up 34.6% year on year) and earnings of $889.42M (up 212.8%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.31B (up 27.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.12 (up 52.6%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 115 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
- The P/E is 11.4 (Gold median 12, own median of recent years 25.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $72.37, with the price 60% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 41.5% a year since 2020.Growth 97
- High marginNet margin 46.9% over the last 12 months, Gold median 27%.Profitability 82
- Below fair valuePrice 60% below the fair value of $72.37.Valuation 96
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 56% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are growth and valuation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 67 to 66.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $51.70 and expensive above $120.62 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $114.68 (cash-flow model) and $30.07 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $61.81, at 7.8% it would be $88.31.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (12).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 40.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 20% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 54%, operating 45%, net 49%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Feb 2027in 96 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.43 (expected $0.43)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 4.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $2.12−4.4%
- Revenue
- $2.31B−3.6%
- Earnings per share
- $2.72−3.6%
- Revenue
- $2.8B−8.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: −13.3%Alamos confirmed its full-year 2026 production and cost targets, but the Phase 3+ shaft expansion at Island Gold is now expected to cost 5% more than budgeted and the ramp-up to 2,400 tons per day has slipped to the second half of 2027 from the first half.
“Given the additional work as well as ongoing inflation, we now expect the total Phase 3+ shaft expansion capital cost to be 5% higher than the $835 million budgeted. Underground mining rates are still expected to continue increasing above 2,000 tons per day in the first half of 2027.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Alamos Gold
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
461 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 66
- Sector median
- 57
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Gold
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Pan American SilverPAAS $15.61B68
- Coeur MiningCDE $14.79B57
- Zhongjin Gold Corp.,Ltd600489.SS $14.31B64
- Equinox GoldEQX $12.07B46
- Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining600988.SS $10.19B72
- IamgoldIAG $9.79B75
- Harmony Gold MiningHMY $9.68B67
- Shanjin International Gold000975.SZ $9.35B73
ETFs that hold Alamos Gold
Held by 54 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| VanEck Junior Gold Miners UCITS ETFG2XJ | 6.58% | 0.55% | €1.06B |
| UBS Solactive Global Pure Gold Miners UCITS ETF USD disUBUD | 4.52% | 0.43% | €473.31M |
| Amundi Gold Miners UCITS ETF USD DistributingCD91 | 2.50% | 0.65% | €732.12M |
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| iShares Gold Producers UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IS0E | 1.60% | 0.55% | €3.8B |
| L&G Gold Mining UCITS ETFETLX | 1.38% | 0.55% | €762.65M |
| VanEck S&P Global Mining UCITS ETF A USDWMIN | 0.67% | 0.50% | €1.97B |
| Xtrackers MSCI Canada Screened UCITS ETF 1CD5BH | 0.53% | 0.35% | €1.2B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Materials UCITS ETF 1CXDWM | 0.47% | 0.25% | €720.77M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 25 Sep 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.