American Financial Group stock
AFGNYSEAmerican Financial Group, Inc., Financial ServicesISIN US0259321042
81Score 81 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
85 / 100
Price history
+13% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 17% above it.
Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 66).
The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 64% (February 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$145.87
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$137.50
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)66
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$124.18
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$161.19
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- American Financial Group, Inc. belongs to the Insurance (Property & Casualty) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $13.34B, is number 19 of 58 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.12B (down 1.9% year on year) and earnings of $842M (down 5.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $7.72B (down 4.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $12.63 (up 22.7%).
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- MEQIRI Score 81 out of 100 (Strong): rank 63 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
- The P/E is 13.1 (Insurance (Property & Casualty) median 12.4, own median of recent years 12.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $178.98, with the price 10% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on equityReturn on equity 21.4% over the last 12 months.Profitability 83
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 24 years.Capital allocation 85
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 96
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and stability.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 80 to 81.
The fundamentals are strong overall.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $149.15 and expensive above $223.73 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $205.89 (excess return model) and $152.08 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $161.83, at 7.8% it would be $204.72.
Valuation metrics
Half from the excess return model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (12.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 2.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 3% per year.
Margins
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: operating 13%, net 10%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterFor banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Feb 2027in 82 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $3.97 (expected $3.80)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $12.63+0.3%
- Revenue
- $7.72B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $12.17+0.1%
- Revenue
- $8.06B+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $15.61M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Hertzman Brian S.Sale
6 Nov 2026, SVP, CFO
- Shares
- 301
- Price
- $155.30
- Value
- $46,744
- Von Lehman John ISale
14 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,279
- Price
- $143.84
- Value
- $183,971
- Hertzman Brian S.Sale
2 Sept 2026, SVP, CFO
- Shares
- 950
- Price
- $142.87
- Value
- $135,727
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- Lindner Carl H IiiSale
26 Aug 2026, Co-CEO
- Shares
- 81,373
- Price
- $144.28
- Value
- $11.74M
- Lindner Carl H IiiSale
24 Aug 2026, Co-CEO
- Shares
- 8,627
- Price
- $144.66
- Value
- $1.25M
- Weiss Mark ASale
6 Aug 2026, Sr. VP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 2,813
- Price
- $144.76
- Value
- $407,210
- Gillis Michelle ASale
24 Jun 2026, Senior Vice President
- Shares
- 2,247
- Price
- $139.00
- Value
- $312,333
- Thompson David Lawrence JrSale
23 Jun 2026, President of Subsidiary
- Shares
- 11,370
- Price
- $135.05
- Value
- $1.54M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at American Financial Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
976 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 81
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Insurance (Property & Casualty)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- LoewsL $22.55B61
- Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance000810.KS $16.86B61
- Powszechny Zaklad UbezpieczenPZU.WA $16.27B80
- AssurantAIZ $15.87B82
- CNA FinancialCNA $13.06B64
- Erie IndemnityERIE $12.57B79
- Old Republic InternationalORI $9.58B78
- Kinsale Capital GroupKNSL $8.84B86
ETFs that hold American Financial Group
Held by 20 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.45% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.45% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)SPYD | 0.40% | 0.35% | €3.62B |
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| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.32% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| iShares World Equity High Income Active UCITS ETF USDWINC | 0.27% | 0.35% | €942.02M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.18% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| WisdomTree US Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTDM | 0.11% | 0.33% | €721.26M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.10% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.