AES stock
AESNYSEThe AES Corporation, UtilitiesISIN US00130H1059
51Score 51 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
70 / 100
Price history
+4.6% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.9% above it.
Since August 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 46).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 79% (May 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$14.90
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$14.79
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)46
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$13.48
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$17.28
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The AES Corporation belongs to the Diversified Utilities industry (United States) and, with a market value of $10.65B, is number 11 of 26 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $12.23B (down 0.4% year on year) and earnings of $949M (down 43.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $12.85B (up 5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.28 (down 2.5%).
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- MEQIRI Score 51 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 129 of 201 in Utilities, median 54.
- The P/E is 5.9 (Diversified Utilities median 15.1, own median of recent years 11.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $26.77, with the price 44% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 78.3% a year since 2020.Growth 59
- Modestly valuedP/E 5.9, Diversified Utilities median 15.1, own median 11.4.Valuation 76
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 14 years.
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 3.08 times equity (latest quarter), Diversified Utilities median 1.3.Stability 26
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1 times.Stability 26
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$1.52B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 34
Its standout strengths are valuation and technical analysis, while fundamentals and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 52 to 51.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $19.12 and expensive above $44.62 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $14.96 (cash-flow model) and $38.58 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.7%. At 9.7% the fair value would be $25.50, at 7.7% it would be $28.70.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk, weak balance sheet.
Valuation metrics
Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (15.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 12.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 18%, operating 16%, net 8%. Last 12 months: net 13%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 1 Mar 2027in 109 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.87 (expected $0.53)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.28−0.9%
- Revenue
- $12.85B+5.9%
- Earnings per share
- $2.43−1.0%
- Revenue
- $13.24B+11.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at AES
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
201 rated companies in Utilities
- This company
- 51
- Sector median
- 54
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Diversified Utilities
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- SSESCT.DE $44.03B54
- EnBW Energie Baden-WürttembergEBK.DE $23.82B41
- EDP - Energias de PortugalEDP.LS $23.28B52
- Brookfield Infrastructure PartnersBIP $18.19B52
- Canadian UtilitiesCU.TO $10.1B52
- EnevaENEV3.SA $9.46B48
- A2AA2A.MI $8.04B57
- ATCOACO-X.TO $6.89B54
ETFs that hold AES
Held by 27 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRG | 1.20% | 0.45% | €1.63B |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Utilities Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDU | 0.78% | 0.15% | €164.72M |
| iShares S&P 500 Utilities Sector UCITS ETF2B7A | 0.77% | 0.15% | €1.04B |
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| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.34% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| Xtrackers S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF 2C EUR HedgedXDEE | 0.20% | 0.30% | €14.88B |
| Franklin U.S. Equity UCITS ETFFLXU | 0.11% | 0.20% | €55.89M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.11% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| iShares Dow Jones Global Leaders Screened UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IUSL | 0.05% | 0.60% | €2.02B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.