AerCap Holdings stock
AERNYSEAerCap Holdings N.V., IndustrialsISIN NL0000687663
65Score 65 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
77 / 100
Price history
+28% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 21% above it.
Since November 2022 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 91).
The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 94% (July 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$149.89
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$145.77
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)91
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$130.99
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$177.01
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- AerCap Holdings N.V. belongs to the Rental & Leasing Services industry (Ireland) and, with a market value of $27.18B, is number 3 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.19B (up 2.4% year on year) and earnings of $3.75B (up 78.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $9.02B (up 10.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $21.30 (up 38%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 65 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 371 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 8.7 (Rental & Leasing Services median 20.4, own median of recent years 7.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $477.56, with the price 63% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 35.8% over the last 12 months, Rental & Leasing Services median 3.9%.Profitability 78
- Below fair valuePrice 63% below the fair value of $477.56.Valuation 97
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 35% since 2020.Capital allocation 64
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$744.74M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 40
Its standout strengths are valuation and momentum, while stability and fundamentals hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
What lowers it
- calm price action
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $367.35 and expensive above $682.23 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $540.94 (cash-flow model) and $414.17 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.6%. At 11.6% the fair value would be $437.20, at 9.6% it would be $532.40.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (20.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 10% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 13% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 60%, operating 52%, net 46%. Last 12 months: net 36%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 5 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $6.56 (expected $4.56)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 12.2% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $21.30+12.2%
- Revenue
- $9.02B+4.3%
- Earnings per share
- $18.96+3.9%
- Revenue
- $8.53B+0.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +6.4%AerCap raises its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to about $20.70, driven by strong gains on asset sales, higher net maintenance contribution and higher other income, and now expects full year asset sales of over $5 billion versus the prior $4 to 5 billion range.
“Reflecting our performance and positive outlook, we are raising our full year 2026 earnings guidance to $20.70 per share, excluding any additional gains on asset sales in the fourth quarter.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $13.36M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at AerCap Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 65
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Rental & Leasing Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- United RentalsURI $70.53B73
- Sunbelt Rentals HoldingsSUNB $33.41B68
- U-Haul HoldingUHAL $10.97B44
- Ryder SystemR $10.66B60
- AyvensAYV.PA $8.53B48
- Tokyo Century8439.T $8.16B54
- GATXGATX $6.61B60
- Localiza Rent a CarRENT3.SA $5.6B52
ETFs that hold AerCap Holdings
Held by 102 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi MSCI EMU SRI Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF DR (C)SRHE | 2.30% | 0.18% | €121.19M |
| iShares MSCI EMU Mid Cap UCITS ETF EURIS3H | 2.12% | 0.49% | €570.32M |
| iShares MSCI EMU CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFEDM4 | 1.88% | 0.12% | €3.68B |
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| iShares Edge MSCI Europe Value Factor UCITS ETFCEMS | 1.68% | 0.25% | €2.59B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Value UCITS ETFZPRW | 1.63% | 0.20% | €92.01M |
| UBS MSCI EMU Socially Responsible UCITS ETF A DistributionUIMR | 1.52% | 0.20% | €1.23B |
| UBS Factor MSCI EMU Low Volatility UCITS ETF EUR disUIMY | 1.35% | 0.25% | €9.28M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Industrials UCITS ETFSPYQ | 1.12% | 0.18% | €1.29B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 May 2023)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.