Adyen stock
ADYEN.ASAMSAdyen N.V., TechnologyISIN NL0012969182
65Score 65 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
46 / 100
Price history
−40% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 8 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 5.9% below it.
Since August 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 38).
The price is 41% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 8 years: 77% (August 2021 to September 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$996.56
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$1,021.93
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)38
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$870.08
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$1,623.81
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Adyen N.V. belongs to the Software (Infrastructure) industry (Netherlands) and, with a market value of $30.36B, is number 14 of 97 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.96B (up 32.6% year on year) and earnings of $1.18B (up 14.8%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.19B (up 7.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $42.04 (up 13.2%).
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- MEQIRI Score 65 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 333 of 854 in Technology, median 61.
- The P/E is 24.4 (Software (Infrastructure) median 25.6, own median of recent years 70.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $1,365.73, with the price 30% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 31.3% a year since 2020, Software (Infrastructure) median 17.9%.Growth 76
- Earnings per share growingUp 31.3% a year since 2020.Growth 76
- High marginNet margin 39.1% over the last 12 months, Software (Infrastructure) median 7.4%.Profitability 82
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 41.5%, average of the prior years 70.6% (to 2024).
- Share price fell sharplyDown 37% over the last 12 months.Momentum 27
- Volatile share priceVolatility 48% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are stability and profitability, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $975.52 and expensive above $2,276.22 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $1,725.26 (cash-flow model) and $1,006.20 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.5%. At 8.5% the fair value would be $1,240.22, at 6.5% it would be $1,550.45.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 31.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2014, at around 44% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 78%, operating 42%, net 40%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 13 Aug 2026EPS reported $18.78 (expected $18.41)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $42.04−2.2%
- Revenue
- $3.19B+0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $50.44−3.7%
- Revenue
- $3.88B+0.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: +16.7%2026 net revenue growth is now 21% to 23% including 1 point from acquisitions, but EBITDA margin lands about 1 point below 2025 and capital expenditure rises to about 7% of revenue, with the organic outlook unchanged.
“Including the 2 acquisitions, we expect a 1 percentage point dilution, leading full year EBITDA margin to land approximately 1 percentage point lower than 2025.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 13 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Adyen
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
854 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 65
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Software (Infrastructure)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- TwilioTWLO $32.84B56
- ZscalerZS $31.51B44
- CoreWeaveCRWV $31.22B33
- OktaOKTA $30.51B57
- CorpayCPAY $29.17B79
- VeriSignVRSN $28.03B75
- MongoDBMDB $27.33B43
- SamsaraIOT $24.2B53
ETFs that hold Adyen
Held by 124 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| UBS Factor MSCI EMU Quality Screened UCITS ETF EUR disUIM2 | 1.94% | 0.25% | €105.49M |
| Amundi S&P Eurozone Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF AccZPAB | 1.47% | 0.20% | €3.39B |
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Industrial Goods & Services UCITS ETF (DE)EXH4 | 1.40% | 0.46% | €552.92M |
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| iShares Digitalisation UCITS ETF2B79 | 1.26% | 0.40% | €736.08M |
| iShares Euro Total Market Growth Large UCITS ETFIQQG | 0.91% | 0.40% | €294.69M |
| Deka EURO STOXX 50 ESG Filtered UCITS ETFELFA | 0.88% | 0.15% | €367.22M |
| VanEck European Equal Weight Screened UCITS ETFV3ET | 0.87% | 0.40% | €93.5M |
| iShares MSCI Europe Financials Sector UCITS ETFESIF | 0.75% | 0.18% | €664.36M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 11 Sep 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 10 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.