ADTRAN Holdings stock
ADTNNASDAQADTRAN Holdings Inc., TechnologyISIN US00486H1059
32Score 32 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
28 / 100
Price history
−40% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 55% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 32).
The price is 75% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 91% (March 2011 to November 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$6.59
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$10.91
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)32
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$4.04
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$19.40
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- ADTRAN Holdings Inc. belongs to the Communication Equipment industry (United States) and, with a market value of $396.07M, is number 55 of 55 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.08B (up 17.5% year on year) and a loss of $45.66M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.14B (up 4.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.29 (up 38.7%).
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- MEQIRI Score 32 out of 100 (Weak): rank 822 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $7.58, with the price 38% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 16.4% a year since 2020, Communication Equipment median 8.2%.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 66% since 2020.Capital allocation 9
- Loss-makingLoss of $25.05M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $0.05 in 2020 to −$0.57.Growth 49
Its standout strength is valuation, while momentum and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 31 to 32.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $5.05 and expensive above $15.16 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.2%. At 12.2% the fair value would be $6.64, at 10.2% it would be $8.81.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, weak balance sheet.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 10.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 38%, operating −1%, net −4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.09 (expected $0.04)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 19.9% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.29+0.8%
- Revenue
- $1.14B−1.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.47−19.9%
- Revenue
- $1.21B−2.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −10.7%Results fell short of guidance on a project delay and supply constraints, with third quarter revenue of only $275 to $295 million and a 1.5% to 5.5% operating margin, and no rebound expected in Access and Aggregation.
The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $897,009 in total. One insider sold, $137,367 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at ADTRAN Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
857 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 32
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Communication Equipment
The next larger companies by market value
- Frequency ElectronicsFEIM $769.18M47
- NedapNEDAP.AS $720.86M79
- Smartoptics Group ASSMOP.OL $552.95M61
- NETGEARNTGR $527.43M31
- NapatechNAPA.OL $475.86M31
- EpendionEPEN.ST $469.27M62
- Gilat Satellite NetworksGILT $447.35M44
- ClearfieldCLFD $415.53M37
ETFs that hold ADTRAN Holdings
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Digital Security UCITS ETFIS4S | 0.07% | 0.40% | €1.9B |
| iShares Smart City Infrastructure UCITS ETFAYEU | 0.05% | 0.40% | €343.1M |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.01% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.00% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.00% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.00% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 May 2019)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.