Archer-Daniels-Midland stock
ADMNYSEArcher-Daniels-Midland Company, Consumer DefensiveISIN US0394831020
56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
43 / 100
Price history
+23% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 7.5% below it.
Since July 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 18).
The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 68% (April 2008 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$80.05
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$76.69
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)18
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$57.47
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$88.09
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Archer-Daniels-Midland Company belongs to the Agricultural Farm Products industry (United States) and, with a market value of $33.78B, is number 2 of 24 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $80.27B (down 6.2% year on year) and earnings of $1.08B (down 40.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $87.4B (up 8.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.59 (up 63.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 200 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 13.8 (Agricultural Farm Products median 16.6, own median of recent years 14.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $113.27, with the price 37% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 43 years.Capital allocation 68
- Below fair valuePrice 37% below the fair value of $113.27.Valuation 90
- Share buybacksShare count down 14% since 2020.Capital allocation 68
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while technical analysis and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $87.13 and expensive above $161.81 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $141.17 (cash-flow model) and $85.37 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $100.75, at 7.8% it would be $132.11.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (16.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2005, at about 3% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 6%, operating 2%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Feb 2027in 82 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.77 (expected $1.60)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $5.59+1.8%
- Revenue
- $87.4B−0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $5.860.0%
- Revenue
- $91.98B−1.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −0.6%2026 adjusted EPS guidance raised again to $5.15 to $5.60 from $4.15 to $4.70; net benefit from 45Z raised to about $250 million from about $150 million.
“Based on our first half performance and a constructive outlook for the second half, we are again raising our full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance now to a range of $5.15 to $5.60, up from the previous guidance range of $4.15 to $4.70.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $196,756 in total.
- McAtee David R IIPurchase
5 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,800
- Price
- $70.27
- Value
- $196,756
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Archer-Daniels-Midland
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 56
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Agricultural Farm Products
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Muyuan Foods002714.SZ $36.12B45
- Muyuan2714.HK $28.2B44
- Tyson FoodsTSN $21.06B51
- Bunge GlobalBG $19.27B43
- Wens Foodstuff Group300498.SZ $16.55B41
- MowiMOWI.OL $12.56B71
- SalMarSALM.OL $8.43B67
- L.d.c. S.a.LOUP.PA $4.27B71
ETFs that hold Archer-Daniels-Midland
Held by 98 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Bioenergy UCITS ETF EUR AccWDNR | 6.32% | 0.35% | €151.65M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Value UCITS ETF USD AccZPRU | 1.39% | 0.20% | €294.97M |
| iShares Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend UCITS ETF (DE)EXX5 | 1.07% | 0.31% | €415.03M |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Staples UCITS ETF 1DXUCS | 1.04% | 0.12% | €107.01M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Staples Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDS | 1.02% | 0.15% | €342.88M |
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector UCITS ETF2B7D | 1.02% | 0.15% | €518.36M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)SPYD | 1.01% | 0.35% | €3.62B |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.93% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 13 Jun 2025)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.