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Acadia Healthcare stock

ACHCNASDAQ

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc., HealthcareISIN US00404A1097

$37.81▼ $0.99 (−2.6%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

47Score 47 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

81 / 100

Price history

+117% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 41% above it.

Trend change

Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 74).

Distance to the high

The price is 2.6% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 87% (November 2022 to January 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$30.24
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$26.75
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)74
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$11.68
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$38.80
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$3.61B
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
21.5
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.80 per share)
Fair value
$27.88

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. belongs to the Medical (Care Facilities) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.52B, is number 21 of 56 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.31B (up 5% year on year) and a loss of $1.1B.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.43B (up 3.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.53 (down 24.4%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 47 out of 100 (Weak): rank 417 of 714 in Healthcare, median 53.
  • Our model puts fair value at $27.88, with the price 39% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 16.9% a year through 2028 (estimates from 8 analysts).

Weaknesses

  • Loss-makingLoss of $1.13B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 47
  • Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $2.15 in 2021 to −$12.16.Growth 30
  • Margin fallingOperating margin 11.7%, average of the prior years 17.3% (to 2024).Profitability 21
47/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while growth and profitability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency60% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)5.5%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings
  • price up very strongly over the past year
  • weak fundamentals

What lowers it

  • price near its 52-week high
  • stable momentum

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$38.80
Fair value
$27.88
Gap to fair value
+39%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $18.59 and expensive above $55.76 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $22.46, at 7.8% it would be $36.05.

Valuation metrics

no data
no data
Fair value (model)
$27.88

From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

16 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2010, at around 30% per year.

Margins

16 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 18%, operating 12%, net −33%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.11
−6.7x
1.6
Cash & equivalents
$163.31M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
24 Feb 2027in 104 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.60 (expected $0.46)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202610 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.530.0%
Revenue
$3.43B0.0%
Fiscal 202710 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.850.0%
Revenue
$3.63B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −15.8%

Guidance updated, with EBITDA raised according to an analyst: revenue $3.4 billion to $3.45 billion, adjusted EBITDA $590 million to $615 million, adjusted EPS $1.45 to $1.60.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We are updating our guidance ranges based on progress made this year, and our updated full year guidance now reflects revenue in a range of $3.4 billion to $3.45 billion, adjusted EBITDA in a range of $590 million to $615 million, adjusted EPS in a range of $1.45 to $1.60 and operating cash flow in a range of $350 …”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 28 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Acadia Healthcare

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

714 rated companies in Healthcare

Rank 417 of 714
417/ 714
This company
47
Sector median
53

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 714 companies21 (median 37)16 below the median
GrowthMedian of 714 companies30 (median 53)23 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 714 companies47 (median 46)1 above the median
ValuationMedian of 477 companies with a value40 (median 54)14 below the median
StabilityMedian of 714 companies39 (median 67)28 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 714 companies44 (median 39)5 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 714 companies81 (median 70)11 above the median
MomentumMedian of 714 companies96 (median 71)25 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Medical (Care Facilities)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 56 Medical (Care Facilities) stocks

ETFs that hold Acadia Healthcare

Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares Ageing Population UCITS ETF2B770.30%0.40%€807M
iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS30.17%0.30%€2.28B
State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR0.12%0.30%€4.22B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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