American Airlines Group stock
AALNASDAQAmerican Airlines Group Inc., IndustrialsISIN US02376R1023
47Score 47 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
64 / 100
Price history
−1.1% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 1.2% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 61).
The price is 27% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 97% (January 2007 to July 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$12.93
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$13.47
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)61
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$10.18
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$18.15
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- American Airlines Group Inc. belongs to the Airlines and Airports industry (United States) and, with a market value of $8.82B, is number 20 of 51 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $54.63B (up 0.8% year on year) and earnings of $111M (down 86.9%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $63.88B (up 16.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$1.24.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 47 out of 100 (Weak): rank 837 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 36% since 2020.Capital allocation 29
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.1 times.Stability 18
- Loss-makingLoss of $481M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 41
Its standout strengths are valuation and growth, while profitability and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 49 to 47.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapA fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at more than four times the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 12.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 19%, operating 3%, net 0%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 26 Jan 2027in 74 days
- Last reported
- 22 Oct 2026EPS reported −$0.28 (expected −$0.36)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 32.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −$1.24−32.3%
- Revenue
- $63.88B+0.7%
- Earnings per share
- $0.99−17.7%
- Revenue
- $68.24B+1.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −2.1%Higher fuel costs (up $700 million in the third quarter) dampen the outlook, third quarter capacity is cut by about 2 points versus plan, and full year adjusted earnings are only break-even at the midpoint.
“Our third quarter capacity is now expected to be up 3% to 5% year-over-year, approximately 2 points lower at the midpoint than our original plan due to the elevated fuel prices.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $5.67M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Johnson Stephen LSale
31 Jul 2026, Vice Chair
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $15.29
- Value
- $458,790
- Owens AngelaSale
31 Jul 2026, SVP Corporate Controller
- Shares
- 40,077
- Price
- $15.26
- Value
- $611,623
- Johnson Stephen LSale
30 Jul 2026, Vice Chair
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $15.26
- Value
- $457,878
Show 6 more
- Johnson Stephen LSale
29 Jul 2026, Vice Chair
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $15.01
- Value
- $450,378
- Johnson Stephen LSale
28 Jul 2026, Vice Chair
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $15.16
- Value
- $454,818
- Owens AngelaSale
28 Jul 2026, SVP Corporate Controller
- Shares
- 39,168
- Price
- $15.34
- Value
- $601,017
- Johnson Stephen LSale
27 Jul 2026, Vice Chair
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $14.67
- Value
- $440,112
- Seymour DavidSale
25 Jun 2026, EVP Chief Operating Officer
- Shares
- 56,456
- Price
- $18.00
- Value
- $1.02M
- Seymour DavidSale
24 Jun 2026, EVP Chief Operating Officer
- Shares
- 69,343
- Price
- $17.00
- Value
- $1.18M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at American Airlines Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 47
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Airlines and Airports
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- GMR AirportsGMRAIRPORT.NS $11.34B49
- ANA Holdings9202.T $9.73B67
- Japan Airlines9201.T $9.52B70
- Shanghai International Airport600009.SS $8.97B53
- Korean Air Lines003490.KS $8.74B46
- Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V.ASR $8.09B75
- Hainan Airlines Holding600221.SS $7.71B33
- EVA Airways2618.TW $7.71B74
ETFs that hold American Airlines Group
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.26% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.16% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.02% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
Show 5 more
| iShares Dow Jones Global Leaders Screened UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IUSL | 0.01% | 0.60% | €2.04B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.01% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 14 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.