Nongfu Spring stock
9633.HKHKSENongfu Spring Co., Ltd., Consumer DefensiveISIN CNE100004272
79Score 79 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
62 / 100
Price history
−19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 4.4% above it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 74).
The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 63% (January 2021 to September 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$5.25
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$5.57
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)74
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$4.89
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$7.15
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Nongfu Spring Co., Ltd. belongs to the Beverages (Non-Alcoholic) industry (China) and, with a market value of $65.42B, is number 4 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $7.88B (up 22.5% year on year) and earnings of $2.38B (up 30.9%).
- MEQIRI Score 79 out of 100 (Strong): rank 12 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
Show more
- The P/E is 25.7 (Beverages (Non-Alcoholic) median 17.8, own median of recent years 44.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $6.71, with the price 14% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 59.6% in fiscal 2025, Consumer Defensive sector median 9.8%.Profitability 99
- High marginNet margin 30.2% over the last 12 months, Consumer Defensive sector median 8.9%.Profitability 99
- Earnings per share growingUp 24% a year since 2020.Growth 91
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are profitability and fundamentals.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 80 to 79.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $4.79 and expensive above $11.18 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $9.39 (cash-flow model) and $4.03 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.3%. At 8.3% the fair value would be $5.86, at 6.3% it would be $7.99.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 21.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2017, at around 15% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 61%, operating 37%, net 30%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 30 Mar 2027in 138 days
- Last reported
- 25 Aug 2026EPS reported 0.91 (expected 0.92)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 25 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 1.63+0.3%
- Revenue
- $9.17B+0.3%
- Earnings per share
- 1.83+0.2%
- Revenue
- $10.28B+0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 25 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Nongfu Spring
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 79
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Coca-ColaKO $419.74B79
- PepsiCoPEP $196.15B71
- Monster BeverageMNST $88.94B79
- Keurig Dr PepperKDP $52.05B62
- Coca-Cola Europacific PartnersCCEP $51.73B76
- Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.FMX $45.15B63
- Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.KOF $25.41B64
- Coca-Cola HBCEEE.AT $20.93B74
ETFs that hold Nongfu Spring
Held by 52 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin EM Multi-Factor Equity UCITS ETFFLXE | 0.93% | 0.30% | €102.26M |
| iShares China Large Cap UCITS ETFIQQC | 0.90% | 0.74% | €701.83M |
| Amundi MSCI China ESG Selection Extra UCITS ETF AccLCHI | 0.80% | 0.65% | €473.19M |
Show 5 more
| iShares Dow Jones China Offshore 50 UCITS ETF (DE)EXXU | 0.72% | 0.62% | €40.6M |
| iShares BIC 50 UCITS ETFIQQ9 | 0.55% | 0.74% | €99.3M |
| iShares MSCI EM Consumer Growth UCITS ETFCEMG | 0.50% | 0.60% | €31.52M |
| UBS MSCI China Universal UCITS ETF USD disUETC | 0.47% | 0.30% | €134.65M |
| Deka MSCI China ex A Shares UCITS ETFEL46 | 0.45% | 0.65% | €74.12M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = HK$7.8456, $1 = CN¥6.6707)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Sep 2021)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.