Keyence stock
6861.TJPXKeyence Corporation, TechnologyISIN JP3236200006
77Score 77 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
59 / 100
Price history
+34% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 3.4% above it.
Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 42).
The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 52% (January 2007 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$488.76
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$451.45
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)42
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$327.31
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$548.92
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Keyence Corporation belongs to the Electronic Components industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $113.26B, is number 2 of 119 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $7.32B (up 10.4% year on year) and earnings of $2.79B (up 11.7%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $9.28B (up 26.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $15.20 (up 32%).
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- MEQIRI Score 77 out of 100 (Strong): rank 74 of 854 in Technology, median 61.
- The P/E is 33.3 (Electronic Components median 31.5, own median of recent years 40.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $371.56, with the price 26% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 40% over the last 12 months, Electronic Components median 8.7%.Profitability 92
- More cash than debtCash $8.93B, financial debt $0.Stability 87
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 16.8% a year since 2021, Electronic Components median 11.1%.Growth 88
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are profitability and fundamentals, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 12 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $265.40 and expensive above $619.27 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $300.48 (cash-flow model) and $442.64 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.5%. At 8.5% the fair value would be $350.44, at 6.5% it would be $400.46.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 24.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 10% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 83%, operating 51%, net 38%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterNo financial debt is reported on the balance sheet.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 29 Jan 2027in 77 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $4.12 (expected $3.87)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.8% since 26 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $15.20+3.8%
- Revenue
- $9.28B+2.2%
- Earnings per share
- $16.81+2.9%
- Revenue
- $10.34B+1.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 26 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Keyence
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
854 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 77
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Electronic Components
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- AmphenolAPH $196.6B79
- CorningGLW $102.94B64
- Hon Hai Precision Industry2317.TW $102.83B60
- Delta Electronics2308.TW $98.05B71
- Murata Manufacturing6981.T $59.55B64
- Luxshare Precision Industry002475.SZ $56B57
- GarminGRMN $55.15B81
- Keysight TechnologiesKEYS $51.79B70
ETFs that hold Keyence
Held by 100 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence UCITS ETFXB0T | 10.65% | 0.50% | €138.84M |
| UBS MSCI Japan Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF ir-hEUR accAW1Q | 3.79% | 0.15% | €194.25M |
| iShares MSCI Japan CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFEMNJ | 3.70% | 0.15% | €781.45M |
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| Deka MSCI Japan Climate Change ESG UCITS ETFEL45 | 3.18% | 0.26% | €163.89M |
| iShares Automation & Robotics UCITS ETF2B76 | 3.02% | 0.40% | €4.62B |
| Amundi MSCI Japan ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DISTJUPI | 2.29% | 0.15% | €1.36B |
| Xtrackers MSCI Japan Screened UCITS ETF 1DXDNY | 1.89% | 0.15% | €457.17M |
| Deka MSCI Japan UCITS ETFEL44 | 1.81% | 0.52% | €83.83M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 13 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.70)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 Aug 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.