Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group stock
1929.HKHKSEChow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited, Consumer CyclicalISIN KYG211461085
68Score 68 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
57 / 100
Price history
−19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 15 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.8% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 80).
The price is 22% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 15 years: 72% (January 2012 to January 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$1.44
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$1.52
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)80
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$1.34
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$1.97
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited belongs to the Luxury Goods industry (Hong Kong SAR China) and, with a market value of $15.15B, is number 8 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $12.03B (up 5.3% year on year) and earnings of $1.15B (up 52.2%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $12.71B (up 5.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.14 (up 17.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 68 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 195 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 13.5 (Consumer Cyclical sector median 21.1, own median of recent years 19.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $2.35, with the price 34% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 30.3% in fiscal 2026, Consumer Cyclical sector median 9.3%.Profitability 76
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 5.53%, Consumer Cyclical sector median 2.36%.Capital allocation 85
- Below fair valuePrice 34% below the fair value of $2.35.Valuation 82
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are capital allocation and valuation, while growth holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $1.81 and expensive above $3.35 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $2.30 (cash-flow model) and $2.40 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $2.17, at 7.8% it would be $2.61.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the sector P/E (21.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue rose 5.3% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2009, at about 10% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 33%, operating 19%, net 10%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Nov 2026in 12 days
- Last reported
- 11 Jun 2026EPS reported $0.08 (expected $0.08)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 28 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.14+0.5%
- Revenue
- $12.71B−0.2%
- Earnings per share
- $0.14−0.4%
- Revenue
- $13.3B−0.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 28 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 68
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Luxury Goods
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Christian DiorCDI.PA $86.88B73
- TitanTITAN.NS $47.07B70
- TapestryTPR $26.2B78
- KeringKER.PA $25.82B50
- Swatch GroupUHR.SW $11.96B51
- PandoraPNDORA.CO $10.69B81
- Kalyan Jewellers IndiaKALYANKJIL.NS $7.32B61
- Laopu Gold6181.HK $6.98B65
ETFs that hold Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group
Held by 60 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Luxury UCITS ETF EUR AccGLUX | 0.42% | 0.35% | €411.57M |
| Amundi MSCI Emerging Markets SRI Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF DR (C)AMEI | 0.25% | 0.25% | €2.52B |
| Amundi MSCI China ESG Selection Extra UCITS ETF DistLHKG | 0.19% | 0.65% | €473.19M |
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| UBS MSCI China Universal UCITS ETF USD disUETC | 0.16% | 0.30% | €134.65M |
| Deka MSCI China ex A Shares UCITS ETFEL46 | 0.11% | 0.65% | €74.12M |
| L&G Asia Pacific ex Japan Equity UCITS ETFETLK | 0.11% | 0.10% | €693.62M |
| iShares MSCI EM Consumer Growth UCITS ETFCEMG | 0.10% | 0.60% | €31.52M |
| HSBC MSCI China UCITS ETFH4ZP | 0.10% | 0.28% | €865.21M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = HK$7.8456)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.