Giant Network Group stock: fair value
002558.SZThe fair value of Giant Network Group under our model is $5.86, the price is 48% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $4.19 and expensive above $9.77 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $7.11 (cash-flow model) and $4.62 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.2%. At 10.2% the fair value would be $5.38, at 8.2% it would be $6.51.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.1).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.3%. Discounted at 9.2% (government bond yield 2.3% plus beta 1.34 times a risk premium of 5.1%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $7.11 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 9.2%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 9.2%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $559.67M | extrapolated at 30.7% | 0.9159 | $512.61M |
| 2027 | $683.68M | extrapolated at 22.2% | 0.8389 | $573.54M |
| 2028 | $794.47M | extrapolated at 16.2% | 0.7684 | $610.44M |
| 2029 | $890.08M | extrapolated at 12.0% | 0.7038 | $626.4M |
| 2030 | $971.24M | extrapolated at 9.1% | 0.6446 | $626.04M |
| 2031 | $1.04B | extrapolated at 7.1% | 0.5904 | $613.97M |
| 2032 | $1.1B | extrapolated at 5.7% | 0.5407 | $594.09M |
| 2033 | $1.15B | extrapolated at 4.7% | 0.4953 | $569.42M |
| 2034 | $1.2B | extrapolated at 3.9% | 0.4536 | $542.11M |
| 2035 | $1.24B | extrapolated at 3.5% | 0.4155 | $513.68M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $5.78B |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.3%) / (9.2% − 2.3%) | $18.41B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4155) | $7.65B |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $13.43B |
| Shares (diluted) | 1.89B |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $7.11 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $0.26 |
| × 18.1 (industry P/E) | $4.62 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $5.86 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6683)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.