Wuhan Guide Infrared stock: fair value
002414.SZThe fair value of Wuhan Guide Infrared under our model is $1.34, the price is 12% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $0.96 and expensive above $2.24 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $0.53 (cash-flow model) and $2.16 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.9%. At 9.9% the fair value would be $1.31, at 7.9% it would be $1.39.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.5).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.3%. Discounted at 8.9% (government bond yield 2.3% plus beta 1.28 times a risk premium of 5.1%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $0.53 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 8.9%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 8.9%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $152.12M | extrapolated at 0.9% | 0.9185 | $139.73M |
| 2027 | $154.17M | extrapolated at 1.4% | 0.8437 | $130.07M |
| 2028 | $156.7M | extrapolated at 1.6% | 0.7749 | $121.43M |
| 2029 | $159.58M | extrapolated at 1.8% | 0.7118 | $113.59M |
| 2030 | $162.74M | extrapolated at 2.0% | 0.6538 | $106.4M |
| 2031 | $166.13M | extrapolated at 2.1% | 0.6005 | $99.76M |
| 2032 | $169.69M | extrapolated at 2.2% | 0.5516 | $93.6M |
| 2033 | $173.42M | extrapolated at 2.2% | 0.5066 | $87.86M |
| 2034 | $177.29M | extrapolated at 2.2% | 0.4654 | $82.5M |
| 2035 | $181.29M | extrapolated at 2.3% | 0.4274 | $77.49M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $1.05B |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.3%) / (8.9% − 2.3%) | $2.83B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4274) | $1.21B |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $2.26B |
| Shares (diluted) | 4.27B |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $0.53 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $0.07 |
| × 31.5 (industry P/E) | $2.16 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $1.34 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6683)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 10 Apr 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.