Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing stock: fair value
002384.SZThe fair value of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing under our model is $7.90, the price is 78% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $5.27 and expensive above $15.80 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $1.69 (cash-flow model) and $14.11 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.6%. At 10.6% the fair value would be $7.80, at 8.6% it would be $8.04.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.5).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.3%. Discounted at 9.6% (government bond yield 2.3% plus beta 1.42 times a risk premium of 5.1%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $1.69 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 9.6%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 9.6%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $220.81M | extrapolated at 3.2% | 0.9125 | $201.49M |
| 2027 | $227.32M | extrapolated at 2.9% | 0.8327 | $189.28M |
| 2028 | $233.59M | extrapolated at 2.8% | 0.7598 | $177.49M |
| 2029 | $239.72M | extrapolated at 2.6% | 0.6933 | $166.21M |
| 2030 | $245.79M | extrapolated at 2.5% | 0.6327 | $155.5M |
| 2031 | $251.84M | extrapolated at 2.5% | 0.5773 | $145.39M |
| 2032 | $257.93M | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.5268 | $135.88M |
| 2033 | $264.08M | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.4807 | $126.95M |
| 2034 | $270.32M | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.4387 | $118.58M |
| 2035 | $276.67M | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.4003 | $110.74M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $1.53B |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.3%) / (9.6% − 2.3%) | $3.89B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4003) | $1.56B |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $3.08B |
| Shares (diluted) | 1.83B |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $1.69 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $0.45 |
| × 31.5 (industry P/E) | $14.11 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $7.90 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6683)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.