BOE Technology Group stock: fair value
000725.SZThe fair value of BOE Technology Group under our model is $0.68, the price is 3% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $0.49 and expensive above $1.14 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $0.66 (cash-flow model) and $0.70 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.6%. At 13.6% the fair value would be $0.65, at 11.6% it would be $0.72.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.5).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.3%. Discounted at 12.6% (government bond yield 2.3% plus beta 2 times a risk premium of 5.1%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $0.66 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 12.6%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 12.6%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.45B | extrapolated at 3.3% | 0.8882 | $2.18B |
| 2027 | $2.53B | extrapolated at 3.0% | 0.7889 | $1.99B |
| 2028 | $2.6B | extrapolated at 2.8% | 0.7006 | $1.82B |
| 2029 | $2.67B | extrapolated at 2.7% | 0.6223 | $1.66B |
| 2030 | $2.74B | extrapolated at 2.6% | 0.5527 | $1.51B |
| 2031 | $2.8B | extrapolated at 2.5% | 0.4909 | $1.38B |
| 2032 | $2.87B | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.4360 | $1.25B |
| 2033 | $2.94B | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.3873 | $1.14B |
| 2034 | $3.01B | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.3440 | $1.04B |
| 2035 | $3.08B | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.3055 | $940.95M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $14.91B |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.3%) / (12.6% − 2.3%) | $30.65B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.3055) | $9.36B |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $24.27B |
| Shares (diluted) | 36.86B |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $0.66 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $0.02 |
| × 31.5 (industry P/E) | $0.70 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $0.68 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6683)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.