Chongqing Changan Automobile stock: fair value
000625.SZThe fair value of Chongqing Changan Automobile under our model is $0.73, the price is 42% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $0.61 and expensive above $0.91 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.5%. At 10.5% the fair value would be $0.64, at 8.5% it would be $0.85.
Where the number comes from
From the dividend model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Dividend model: the dividend grows by 2.3% a year for good and is discounted at 9.5% (government bond yield 2.3% plus beta 1.41 times a risk premium of 5.1%).
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the dividend model arrives at $0.73 per share: next year's dividend divided by the gap between the discount rate and growth. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend per share | $0.05 |
| Next dividend: × (1 + 2.3%) | $0.05 |
| Value per share: next dividend / (9.5% − 2.3%) | $0.73 |
| Fair value (from the cash flow model alone) | $0.73 |
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6683)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.