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Luzhou Laojiao stock

000568.SZSHZ

Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd., Consumer DefensiveISIN CNE000000GF2

$11.50▼ $0.04 (−0.3%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

53 / 100

Price history

−46% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 16% below it.

Trend change

Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 64).

Distance to the high

The price is 46% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 78% (February 2021 to October 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$11.15
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$13.66
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)64
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$10.19
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$21.48
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$16.99B
Div. yield
7.5%
12 months
19.7
15.2
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.76 per share)
Fair value
$11.52

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd. belongs to the Beverages (Wineries & Distilleries) industry (China) and, with a market value of $16.93B, is number 3 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.86B (down 17.5% year on year) and earnings of $1.62B (down 19.6%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.72B (down 29.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.70 (down 46.1%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 138 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
  • The P/E is 19.7 (Beverages (Wineries & Distilleries) median 20.5, own median of recent years 25.5).
  • Our model puts fair value at $11.52, with the price 0% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 46.9% in fiscal 2025, Beverages (Wineries & Distilleries) median 14.1%.Profitability 88
  • High dividend yieldDividend yield 7.5%, Beverages (Wineries & Distilleries) median 4.02%.Capital allocation 76
  • More cash than debtCash $3.47B, financial debt $895.12M.Stability 90

Weaknesses

  • Dividend not coveredPayouts over the last 12 months were 148% of earnings and 314,560% of free cash flow.
  • Share price fell sharplyDown 41% over the last 12 months.Momentum 31
63/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are stability and profitability, while momentum and growth hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)0%
ROIC (12 months)21.1%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk not measured

How well MEQIRI warns

For stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$11.54
Fair value
$11.52
Gap to fair value
0%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $8.86 and expensive above $16.46 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $11.05 (cash-flow model) and $11.99 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.3%. At 8.3% the fair value would be $10.60, at 6.3% it would be $12.89.

Valuation metrics

1.76
12.4
Fair value (model)
$11.52
Earnings part $11.99 (earnings per share $0.58 × 20.5)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (20.5).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In fiscal 2025, revenue fell 17.5% on the prior year. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 15% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 87%, operating 57%, net 42%. Last 12 months: net 33%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.13
89.1x
3.63
Cash & equivalents
$3.47B

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
23 Apr 2027in 162 days
Last reported
30 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.13 (expected $0.21)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 9.8% since 25 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 202616 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.70−9.8%
Revenue
$2.72B−5.8%
Fiscal 202719 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.77−9.3%
Revenue
$2.9B−6.3%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 25 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Luzhou Laojiao

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive

Rank 138 of 295
138/ 295
This company
63
Sector median
62

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 295 companies88 (median 54)34 above the median
GrowthMedian of 295 companies23 (median 50)27 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 295 companies78 (median 79)1 below the median
ValuationMedian of 290 companies with a value61 (median 65)4 below the median
StabilityMedian of 295 companies90 (median 68)22 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 295 companies76 (median 62)14 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 295 companies53 (median 65)12 below the median
MomentumMedian of 295 companies31 (median 60)29 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Beverages (Wineries & Distilleries)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 20 Beverages (Wineries & Distilleries) stocks

ETFs that hold Luzhou Laojiao

Held by 42 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
HSBC MSCI China A UCITS ETF USDH41K0.46%0.30%€68.25M
Xtrackers Harvest CSI300 UCITS ETF 1DRQFI0.27%0.65%€251.46M
Xtrackers Harvest CSI A500 UCITS ETF 1DAH500.24%0.65%€10.8M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6707)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 2 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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